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Switch to Forum Live View Arab Spring Revisited
3 years ago  ::  Mar 29, 2012 - 9:51AM #1
JAstor
Posts: 3,957

It has been now more than a year since the revolutions in Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Bahrain and Yemen occurred. Many of the leaders of those countries who were entrenched in power for decades were toppled and some were killed. Heady predictions were made about how now the Arab world would turn to positive democracy and away from dictatorial oppression.


Like most expert predictions regarding the Middle East this optimistic assessment of what would now happen in these countries has been proven to be wildly inaccurate. It seems rather clear now that Islamic, xenophobic regimes are going to dominate the area and that the economies of most of the Arab states are in shambles and are likely to remain so. Poverty, illiteracy, discontent and raging frustration remain the lot of the hundreds of millions of Arabs living in the Middle East.


Israel will therefore still remain the most convenient scapegoat for somehow channeling and directing this frustration away from the new governments in the area.


The fault lines and fissures in the Arab and Muslim world are ancient and deep. The struggles today are between Sunnis and Shiites, Kurds and Arabs, Alawites, Druze and more mainstream religious Muslims, differing ayatollahs and rival tribal sheiks – in short, pretty much the same cast of characters that have been fighting each other in the Middle East for the past fifteen centuries.


As part of the Arab Spring, over 8,500 people have been killed in Syria. Assad has the backing of Iran, Russia and China and this has allowed him to escape any effective UN or Arab actions against him.


Of course the fact that he has slaughtered thousands is of little concern to the hypocritical world powers. Israel is condemned for having inadvertently killed a small number of non-combatants in fighting a defensive military action against terrorists raining missiles down indiscriminately upon its civilian population. Simply imagine if Israel ever would kill 8,500 Arabs for whatever justified reason what the outcry of the world powers would be.


Assad is an Alawite, a small minority in a largely Sunni population. This is really a religious war of survival for the Alawites are well aware of what awaits them if the Sunnis gain absolute power in Syria. So we can expect the killing to continue unabated and who will be left standing at the end of this bloody conflict is anyone’s guess.


Of course when it will all be over everyone will agree that it was Israel’s fault since Israel did not agree to the demands of the Palestinians to commit national suicide. The Arab Spring has proven to any reasonable observer that the main problems in the Middle East and in its Muslim society have nothing to do with Israel. Israel merely serves as a convenient punching bag and scapegoat. 

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