| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 4:44PM #1 | |
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The Middle East in the last several years has significantly mutated or morphed. During the "Hamtana", the wait or build up to the "67" betwixt Egypt's President Nasser committing Casus Belli and OP/Focus. French President Charles De Gaulle told an Israeli diplomat..." "do not make war" or "do not shoot first". France and Charles De Gaulle had just walked away from Algeria,at great cost and was trying to "reach a great accomodation with the Arab world", the the tenuous and self-serving "alliance" betwixt the UK, France and Israel forged previous to Suez had come to an abrupt end. And so did European influence or crediblity in the Middle East.
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Miraj
on Mar 23, 2012 - 12:27AM
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 5:22PM #2 | |
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Platoonleader, Do you have a link to your quotes? Unless the ideas expressed in your post are all your own, citing the origin of the points and facts can aid discussion. European Influence (a really basic and therefore wildly limited and inaccurate assessment) The influence of any country or group of countries on a "target" country or group of countries is determined by the good or harm which that country or group of countries can do to or for the "target" country or group of countries. Thus the influence of various European countries, individually, depends on their economic effects on the target country and their military effects on the target country. A country like Luxembourg is not going to have a lot of individual influence, whereas a country like Germany will. The EU, as a consortium of countries can have a great deal of influence when it can act in a coordinated way, which is difficult. Since Israel is economically tied into the EU, European coutnries have influence over Israeli policies and practices. Influence does not mean they get to call the shots. It means they get to be heard. That is why you will see a fair amount of diplomatic activity (and diplomatic squabbling when one side thinks the other side is not listening to the obviously correct opinion and advise being given) between the European nations and Israel. Some Arab countries such as Morrocco, Tunisia and Algeria are also tied into the European economy and therefore Europe and European copuntries will have influence in those countries. European countries are tied into the economies and dependent on some Arab countries such as KSA, the Gulf States, etc... for natural resources and therefore you will find that those countries have influence in European countries. Some Arab countries are neither tied into the European economy nor produce products which the European countries need. In those cases, such as Syria, Europe has less influence. USA influence The above analysis also holds true for the USA. However, the USA, also has the ability to project military power, which gives it added clout in certain circumstances and presents additional problems for US influence in others. RUSSIAN influence See US influence and do not forget Russia is closer. CHINESE influence Also works the same way as US influence etc.... In general you will find that all countries do what they perceive to be in their best interests and try to get other countries to help them. Countries are not always correct in their assessment of what their best interests are. Islam is a religion and a civilization. There are aspects of Islamic civilization which differ from Western Civilization and which are at odds with Western Civilization. Islam, as a civilization, can only be said to be "at war with Western Civilization" to the extent that there are efforts to alter Western Civilization to make it comport to Islamic Civilization. (This works both ways) In what ways are you thinking Islamic civilization is trying to alter Western Civilization and visa versa? |
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 5:50PM #3 | |
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Oh Dear! I just "sorta assumed" most informed folks knew about Charles De Gaulle telling an Israeli diplomat not to "shoot first." I appear to have been mistaken in your case. Your pontifications about economic interests re Israel and Europe notwithstanding...the fact is Europe has had NO or very little "influence" in Israel or an its government. That could also be said about both HAMAS and the PA. American military "power" has declined somewhat, or its effects. Just look at Iraq and Afghanistan....what good is state of the art military equipment without the will to use it or stay the course. I again refer to the "68" Tet offensive. It is indeed a"war of the worlds" against western civilization
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Miraj
on Mar 23, 2012 - 12:27AM
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 6:00PM #4 | |
tl;dr
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 6:03PM #5 | |
Indeed! And what influence has the EU had on Israel's policy re settlements? Just a reality check! |
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 6:09PM #6 | |
tl;dr
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 6:13PM #7 | |
So much for all "that EU influence" |
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 6:29PM #8 | |
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OK, Here I am in the unusual position of agreeing with Chari and supporting European Governments and their actions (or at least trying to explain them in a very basic and therefore somewhat inaccurate manner). The various European governments may or may not actually care about Jewish Communities being located in Judea and Samaria. However, they, like all other governments, play to various audiences, domestic and foreign. Undoubtedly, in order to maintain good relations with certain Arab states, the European governments wish to be seen as supportive of the positions of those states. Therefore, they may condemn “the settlements” whether or not they really care about the issue. If they do care about the issue and actually disagree with the idea that Jewish communities should be allowed in the historically Jewish lands of Judea and Samaria, they might not care enough to risk repercussions in their relationship with Israel over the issue or in their domestic affairs. (It is no skin off their backs who lives where, as long as it is outside of their own countries) The fact European governments may publicly complain about “the settlements” and basically do nothing about them is not necessarily reflective of their “influence”. It just reflects 1. their actual interest in the issue, 2. their interest in other issues, and 3. their determination of what is going to help them achieve their own domestic and international goals. |
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 6:36PM #9 | |
What "influence" do you talk about here, anyway? Nations are by and large free to decide what they do, they are not bound by other nations' desires and wishes, unless they chose so. If Israel suddenly wants to opt out of the EU's mediterranean partnership, it can do that at any time point. I think Squirrel is quite right in his sketch of European governmental considerations. Anything in Israel is not sufficiently important to affect much policy. Why raise your voice in a conflict that is not yours? The EU's prime goal in Israel & the Palenstinians' Areas is silence. Whoever makes too much noise will be perceived as obnoxious.
tl;dr
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| 1 year ago :: Mar 22, 2012 - 6:56PM #10 | |
You folks obviously have not read the post you are commenting about. The EU has its own issues with insitutionalized Jew killing, and anti-Semitiism. The EU and Catherine Ashoton have had NO influence on the Arab / Israel conflict. YOU are bleating about Europeans and Israeli "strawberries, beans and potatos". If you were to read my post, you will see I am saying that EU diplomatic influence has waned, if it ever existed. I also alluded to Europe's two faced history in the Middle East...(Balfour...Sykes Picot, et al) I also say that US influence in Muslim Nations is waning because these nations don't care about US AID dollars...they rather not have the dollars than "offend Allah" Yes Char...those setlements are still there and NOT going anywhere
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Miraj
on Mar 23, 2012 - 12:31AM
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