My guess is that the U.S. will eventually slit apart into smaller nation-states. It seems like large empires like the Ancient Roman Empire, the Holy Roman Empire, the Ottoman Empire, the Persian Empire, the Byzantine Empire, Alexander the Great's Empire and the Kingdoms of the Diadochi following Alexander's death, and the Soviet Union eventually break apart into smaller units. And since the U.S. covers such a massive geographical space, and is already divided into smaller units (the South, New England, the Midwest, the Great Plains, the Pacific Coast, the Rocky Mountain States, the Southwest, Alaska, Hawaii, etc.), it seems to me that the U.S. will eventually break apart into smaller units just like those larger empires did. Perhaps the smaller units may initially try to remain together in some kind of European-Union-like confederation, or split apart only to later form a European-Union-like confederation of mutual cooperation, but I think it's only a matter of time before the U.S. breaks apart. It may not happen for another couple of hundred years (or it may happen sooner), but I assume it will eventually happen. And I suspect that our increased technology (the Internet, smart phones, etc.) will actually aid the breakup rather than hinder the breakup.
Please provide a sample list of the civilizations to which you are referring and (as close as possible) the start and finish dates of the approximate 200 year span.
Thank you
Where most .. if not all of you are going wrong, is that you consider a "civilization" existence in name. They aren't the same. A "cvilization" refers to a continuous "city-state" ... meaning operating under the same laws.
While the Roman Empire existed for 2000 years, it changed readily, culturally and in terms of state held norms. The most cited evidence for the "average" of 200 comes from the Chinese Dynasties, as they were less influenced by outside invasion. Some were as short as 50 years, some lasted 400, but the average was 200.
Likewise, a great example ... Iran has existed for thousands of years, but it's "civilization" has changed many times.
625-559 BC ... the Medes Empire [125 years]
560-330 BC ... Achaemenid Empire [170 years]
330-238 BC ... Seleucid Empire
238 BC - 224 AD ... The Parthian Empire [450 yeras]
224 - 632 AD ... Sassanid Empire
Between 632 and 1501, Iran was ruled by 10 different dynasties, and from 1501 to the present 6 more.
On average ... it's about 200 years.
The United States under the original interpretations of the Constitution has existed for 227 years ... but one has to question, how much longer will it last before the US is transformed to something that doesn't even remotely resemble the ideals that were envisioned 200 years ago.
Granted, in the past, dynasty's were often defeated militarily ... but many were defeated by revolt. The US almost fell 100 years into its making with the Civil War. We find today the makings of yet another Civil War .. but this time, it will be between the People of the United States and the Government. The time is comming when the US Gov. turns it's military on the people to maintain control of its usurped power. There will be supporters of the Government, mostly Leftists, and there will be the opposition, Conservatives, who at long last will refuse to be dictated too by an overreaching, left leaning, Corprocracy that hides itself behind the Democratic and Republican Parties [yes .. you read that right, the GOP is just as much invested in this corrupt corpracracy as the Democrats are, and only serve as the distraction to keep the people pacified into believing that we have some form of Democratic Republic].
It'll be a sad day, but .. hey, all great civilizations fall.
But as I noted earlier ... what will be the form of "Dictator" we get?? Will it be a Leftist group with total control, oppressing the people into a fuedal system with "elites" and peasants who are all equally poor, and dependent on the government for its every need .... or .... will it be a reinstatement of the original Ideal, were every man has "opportunity", Freedom and Liberty.
My guess is that the U.S. will eventually slit apart into smaller nation-states. It seems like large empires like the Ancient Roman Empire, the Holy Roman Empire, the Ottoman Empire, the Persian Empire, the Byzantine Empire, Alexander the Great's Empire and the Kingdoms of the Diadochi following Alexander's death, and the Soviet Union eventually break apart into smaller units. And since the U.S. covers such a massive geographical space, and is already divided into smaller units (the South, New England, the Midwest, the Great Plains, the Pacific Coast, the Rocky Mountain States, the Southwest, Alaska, Hawaii, etc.), it seems to me that the U.S. will eventually break apart into smaller units just like those larger empires did. Perhaps the smaller units may initially try to remain together in some kind of European-Union-like confederation, or split apart only to later form a European-Union-like confederation of mutual cooperation, but I think it's only a matter of time before the U.S. breaks apart. It may not happen for another couple of hundred years (or it may happen sooner), but I assume it will eventually happen. And I suspect that our increased technology (the Internet, smart phones, etc.) will actually aid the breakup rather than hinder the breakup.
ahhhhh ... Costrel gets it.
The US Public has drifted too far apart in ideology and political ideals. One has to ask how much longer the US Government can hold it together, all the while shoving things down the throats of the people who oppose such.
Sure .. a bunch of you want Univeral Health .. .and bunch of us don't. A bunch of you like the politics of Obama .. and a bunch of us don't. But with each successive entitlement installed into law, SS, Obamacare, Homeland Security, etc ... at some point the people "paying" will cry foul, and either stop paying and revolt, ... OR ... stop working, at which point the burden of this expensive Government bought on the back of bribes of the people will crumble.
Frankly, it would not hurt my feelings to see the US split apart. I would no longer have to put up with the opinions of people from NYC and California creating law for the entire Nation, bilking the working class people to pay for their Utopian Fuedal System .... all in the name of "good intentions".
The US Public has drifted too far apart in ideology and political ideals. One has to ask how much longer the US Government can hold it together, all the while shoving things down the throats of the people who oppose such.
Sure .. a bunch of you want Univeral Health .. .and bunch of us don't. A bunch of you like the politics of Obama .. and a bunch of us don't. But with each successive entitlement installed into law, SS, Obamacare, Homeland Security, etc ... at some point the people "paying" will cry foul, and either stop paying and revolt, ... OR ... stop working, at which point the burden of this expensive Government bought on the back of bribes of the people will crumble.
Frankly, it would not hurt my feelings to see the US split apart. I would no longer have to put up with the opinions of people from NYC and California creating law for the entire Nation, bilking the working class people to pay for their Utopian Fuedal System .... all in the name of "good intentions".
I don't view the potential/inevitable breakup of the United States merely from the perspective of economics or even of politics though. I think geography, religion, materialism and anti-materialism, and social issues are all going to play important roles in the breakup. As much as I dislike Santorum's conservatism and his Catholic (some would say pseudo-Catholic) stances, I do have to agree with him that social issues (abortion, contraception, same-sex marriage, etc.) and religious issues (questions concerning secularism and science -- especially evolution, the place and role of religion in the public sphere, issues concerning the religious freedom rights of Catholics, the Amish, and Muslims, and the growing number of Americans who practice non-Christian religions or who practice no religion, etc.) are important aspects of changes -- for better and for worse -- occurring in this country.
The closing sentences should be read an contemplated “these facts lead me to suspect that these quotes were probably coined by separate individuals in the first half of the twentieth century. The authors were most likely not famous persons or respected scholars, but rather just private political thinkers who got their words in print, and whose words then happened to strike a chord in others. The passage of time merely encouraged quoters to attach an author's name that strengthened the authority behind the words.
And that is where the vice of misattribution lies. Perhaps the words speak the truth of democratic governments; or perhaps they do not. But either way, attributing the words to a scholar who never spoke them is to lend to them an authority and reliability that they do not deserve.Anonymous quotes, which these almost certainly are, should not be given fictitious attributions merely to lend credence to the messages they impart. To do so is to favor persuasiveness over accuracy, and to sacrifice truth for the sake of image.
“I seldom make the mistake of arguing with people for whose opinions I have no respect.” Edward Gibbon
Coming up with an "average" of 200 years from empires that lasted 2000 and others that lasted 175 hardly gives any indication of how long any particular one will last.
Granted, in the past, dynasty's were often defeated militarily ... but many were defeated by revolt. The US almost fell 100 years into its making with the Civil War. We find today the makings of yet another Civil War .. but this time, it will be between the People of the United States and the Government. The time is comming when the US Gov. turns it's military on the people to maintain control of its usurped power. There will be supporters of the Government, mostly Leftists, and there will be the opposition, Conservatives, who at long last will refuse to be dictated too by an overreaching, left leaning, Corprocracy that hides itself behind the Democratic and Republican Parties [yes .. you read that right, the GOP is just as much invested in this corrupt corpracracy as the Democrats are, and only serve as the distraction to keep the people pacified into believing that we have some form of Democratic Republic].
It'll be a sad day, but .. hey, all great civilizations fall.
But as I noted earlier ... what will be the form of "Dictator" we get?? Will it be a Leftist group with total control, oppressing the people into a fuedal system with "elites" and peasants who are all equally poor, and dependent on the government for its every need .... or .... will it be a reinstatement of the original Ideal, were every man has "opportunity", Freedom and Liberty.
Who knows.
It's funny, I think it's more likely that the US will be taken over by the Christian Taliban (AKA the religious right), while those who desire the freedom to live and worship as they desire ("liberals") finally taking up arms against those who would opporess us.
It's either that, or the corporate oligarchy will finish its takeover of the US government, only to be overthrown by those who believe that "life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness" should not be a privalege for the wealthy, but the right of all Americans.
Either way,it won't be a good thing for the "right."
Granted, in the past, dynasty's were often defeated militarily ... but many were defeated by revolt. The US almost fell 100 years into its making with the Civil War. We find today the makings of yet another Civil War .. but this time, it will be between the People of the United States and the Government. The time is comming when the US Gov. turns it's military on the people to maintain control of its usurped power. There will be supporters of the Government, mostly Leftists, and there will be the opposition, Conservatives, who at long last will refuse to be dictated too by an overreaching, left leaning, Corprocracy that hides itself behind the Democratic and Republican Parties [yes .. you read that right, the GOP is just as much invested in this corrupt corpracracy as the Democrats are, and only serve as the distraction to keep the people pacified into believing that we have some form of Democratic Republic].
It'll be a sad day, but .. hey, all great civilizations fall.
But as I noted earlier ... what will be the form of "Dictator" we get?? Will it be a Leftist group with total control, oppressing the people into a fuedal system with "elites" and peasants who are all equally poor, and dependent on the government for its every need .... or .... will it be a reinstatement of the original Ideal, were every man has "opportunity", Freedom and Liberty.
Who knows.
It's funny, I think it's more likely that the US will be taken over by the Christian Taliban (AKA the religious right), while those who desire the freedom to live and worship as they desire ("liberals") finally taking up arms against those who would opporess us.
It's either that, or the corporate oligarchy will finish its takeover of the US government, only to be overthrown by those who believe that "life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness" should not be a privalege for the wealthy, but the right of all Americans.
Either way,it won't be a good thing for the "right."
The only problem with your position Melby, is that you can't cite a single instance in modern time where American Christians have "forced" anyone to DO anything. Your position is actually a twists.
Though I"m sure you can "spin" some issue to look like Christians are forcing others to do something, reality disproves it everytime.
In contrast, we can cite a long laundry list of where Leftists engage in Forcing Others to do against their will in the name of "social justice", .... the latest being this forced contraception crap foisted upon people at the hands of the Pelosi-Obama-Reid coalition.
The average age of the worlds greatest civilizations from the beginning of history, has been about 200 years. During those 200 years, these nations always progressed through the following sequence:
From bondage to spiritual faith; From spiritual faith to great courage; From courage to liberty; From liberty to abundance; From abundance to complacency; From complacency to apathy; From apathy to dependence; From dependence back into bondage.
The end bondage is always a dictatorship. So .. wonder what our is going to look like!
Those who believe in such deterministic stuff are certainly in spiritual bondage...
Tsk tsk!
What a profound disbelief in human ingeniuousness we see displayed here!
The duration of a human empire on Terra must lie in-between the lengths of a planetary year on Neptunus and on Pluto, you say? You old stargazer, Bo!
But for the record, as a German, whose empire was founded only in 1871, I just may not have reached the complacency stage necessary to accept such hogwash as more than hogwash...
Granted, in the past, dynasty's were often defeated militarily ... but many were defeated by revolt. The US almost fell 100 years into its making with the Civil War. We find today the makings of yet another Civil War .. but this time, it will be between the People of the United States and the Government. The time is comming when the US Gov. turns it's military on the people to maintain control of its usurped power. There will be supporters of the Government, mostly Leftists, and there will be the opposition, Conservatives, who at long last will refuse to be dictated too by an overreaching, left leaning, Corprocracy that hides itself behind the Democratic and Republican Parties [yes .. you read that right, the GOP is just as much invested in this corrupt corpracracy as the Democrats are, and only serve as the distraction to keep the people pacified into believing that we have some form of Democratic Republic].
It'll be a sad day, but .. hey, all great civilizations fall.
But as I noted earlier ... what will be the form of "Dictator" we get?? Will it be a Leftist group with total control, oppressing the people into a fuedal system with "elites" and peasants who are all equally poor, and dependent on the government for its every need .... or .... will it be a reinstatement of the original Ideal, were every man has "opportunity", Freedom and Liberty.
Who knows.
It's funny, I think it's more likely that the US will be taken over by the Christian Taliban (AKA the religious right), while those who desire the freedom to live and worship as they desire ("liberals") finally taking up arms against those who would opporess us.
It's either that, or the corporate oligarchy will finish its takeover of the US government, only to be overthrown by those who believe that "life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness" should not be a privalege for the wealthy, but the right of all Americans.
Either way,it won't be a good thing for the "right."
The only problem with your position Melby, is that you can't cite a single instance in modern time where American Christians have "forced" anyone to DO anything. Your position is actually a twists.
Though I"m sure you can "spin" some issue to look like Christians are forcing others to do something, reality disproves it everytime.
In contrast, we can cite a long laundry list of where Leftists engage in Forcing Others to do against their will in the name of "social justice", .... the latest being this forced contraception crap foisted upon people at the hands of the Pelosi-Obama-Reid coalition.
Until 1962, schools started the day with a Christian prayer, the non-Christians were forced to participate, at the very least, by presence. Graduation, sports events began with a prayer , 99% Christian prayer,
Blue laws were, and are , based on religious teachings. The last state to defund state religion was Massachusetts in 1833
“I seldom make the mistake of arguing with people for whose opinions I have no respect.” Edward Gibbon