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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 4:48PM #31
allthegoodnamesweretaken
Posts: 11,634

Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:35PM, Ebon wrote:

OK. In order to answer that, we need to make a few assumptions. Firstly, we assume we are talking about someone of good mental and physical health, of working age, live in a decent neighbourhood and without serious previous convictions (we discount minor stuff like speeding). Assuming all that, possessing a gun, in and of itself, makes that person no more statistically likely to commit a crime and/or discharge their firearm at another human or themselves.



 


Agreed. 


 


Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:35PM, Ebon wrote:


However, if that same person has previous serious convictions, the chances of their commiting a crime with that firearm goes way up, obviously.



Agreed. 


Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:35PM, Ebon wrote:


Those with mental health problems are statistically likely to use that firearm on themselves.



Agreed. 


 


Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:35PM, Ebon wrote:


So are the elderly (unfun fact: The elderly are a demographic with the second highest suicide rate in the US).



Agreed. 


 


 


Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:35PM, Ebon wrote:


And if they live in a bad neighbourhood and buy a weapon for home defence, it is statistically likely that they will be so jumpy that they will perforate a family member (if you live in a bad neighbourhood, you are 43 times more likely to shoot a family member with your weapon than a criminal.



 


Actually, I disagree.  What you are refering to is the oft cited Kellerman study, and is refuted here. 


 


www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdgaga.html


 


 


 


 


Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:35PM, Ebon wrote:


This is because humans do not deal well with constant pressure so you think that half-glimpsed shadow is a burglar and it turns out to be Little Timmy who can't sleep).




 


I agree. 


 


Now, first of all, I would like to think that we all make the assumption, that unless we have reason to believe otherwise, we consider a person to be "of good mental and physical health, of working age, live in a decent neighbourhood and without serious previous convictions". 


 


In that case, what reasons would we have to restrict them? 


 


all

Yesterday, in America, 100 million gun owners did nothing.
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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 4:49PM #32
Ebon
Posts: 7,689

Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:39PM, appy20 wrote:

Here is the problem with the mental health and elderly clause.  You are saying the elderly and those with a history of depression cannot protect themselves, family or pets from rattlesnakes, rabid dogs, alligators, wild dogs, wolves, bears, etc.   Even people with these issues need protection and many, like me, don't live in areas where someone else can provide that.  Just because I once had a history of depression should not mean that I can't ever have protection.  In my neck of the world, guns are used for useful things besides shooting other people.  



I'm not saying that at all (or, at least, not intentionally). All I am saying is that if you have a history of mental illness or are elderly, there is a statistically significant risk that your firearm will eventually be used on yourself. I am not saying that should disqualify either group from holding a firearm. But it is a statistical point which needs to be part of our considerations if we hope to have a discussion about firearms based in logic rather than emotion.

He who oppresses the poor shows contempt for their Maker, but whoever is kind to the needy honors God. ~ Proverbs 14:31

Fiat justitia, ruat caelum

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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 4:52PM #33
mytmouse57
Posts: 9,316

Oct 7, 2010 -- 5:16PM, farragut wrote:


I'd be happier if the oldtimer had been armed and had ventilated the young punk.





Not me. I'm glad when a "young punk" gets a good, swift kick in the ass -- so to speak -- and maybe the fear of God put into him. Gives him a chance to get back on the straight and narrow. The world is full of good people who started out as "young punks." Ironically, oftentimes it's just those sorts who -- after being put in their place and scared straight -- go on to be good cops. On more than one occassion, I've had a veteran officer tell me, "Well, when I was young, I was a real hell-raiser, a real trouble-maker."


Oftentimes, trouble-making or criminal behavior in youngsters is just a sign of boldness and a willingness to take risks. Those are very good attributes -- they just need to be re-routed into the right direction.


Firearm or no, again, I'd rather just see a young hooligan get the living crap scared out of him and maybe learn a valuable lesson, than to die while still only in his teens.

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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 4:57PM #34
allthegoodnamesweretaken
Posts: 11,634

Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:49PM, Ebon wrote:


I'm not saying that at all (or, at least, not intentionally). All I am saying is that if you have a history of mental illness or are elderly, there is a statistically significant risk that your firearm will eventually be used on yourself. I am not saying that should disqualify either group from holding a firearm. But it is a statistical point which needs to be part of our considerations if we hope to have a discussion about firearms based in logic rather than emotion.




 


Ok. 


There is a higher possibility that a person would use it on themselves. 


Now, as dispassionately, we need to weigh that against whether or not we think it is our place to protect people from themselves. 


 


all

Yesterday, in America, 100 million gun owners did nothing.
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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 4:58PM #35
Ebon
Posts: 7,689

Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:48PM, allthegoodnamesweretaken wrote:

Actually, I disagree.  What you are refering to is the oft cited Kellerman study, and is refuted here. 


 www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdgaga.html 



Point retracted in light of new evidence. Substitute that your home defence firearm is slightly more likely to  unintentionally kill a family member than to intentionally kill a criminal. However, it should be remember that those are figures for deaths only and figures for defensive wounding were unavailable.


Now, first of all, I would like to think that we all make the assumption, that unless we have reason to believe otherwise, we consider a person to be "of good mental and physical health, of working age, live in a decent neighbourhood and without serious previous convictions". 


 In that case, what reasons would we have to restrict them? 




You're asking me? I'm a lot closer to your side the solf's on this one.

He who oppresses the poor shows contempt for their Maker, but whoever is kind to the needy honors God. ~ Proverbs 14:31

Fiat justitia, ruat caelum

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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 5:00PM #36
appy20
Posts: 10,165

Ebon,


I don't know.  I think that people may have a right to kill themselves.  Terminal illness, alzheimer's, etc.  Even depression that is not treated.  


MyTmouse,


I don't agree with you. I believe that a thug in the teen years is a thug forever.  They may learn to conform to some degree but sometimes they just learn to hide it better.  If they are dead, they cannot breed.  Even if they reform, if they live, they still may reproduce more thugs.  


Being young doesn't make your crime less serious.  Or more forgivable.  

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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 5:13PM #37
allthegoodnamesweretaken
Posts: 11,634

Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:58PM, Ebon wrote:


Point retracted in light of new evidence. Substitute that your home defence firearm is slightly more likely to  unintentionally kill a family member than to intentionally kill a criminal. However, it should be remember that those are figures for deaths only and figures for defensive wounding were unavailable.



 


We should also consider cases where criminal activity was stopped because of threat of force.  Not all cases of self defense with firearms result in the use of firearms. 


 


Oct 8, 2010 -- 4:58PM, Ebon wrote:


You're asking me? I'm a lot closer to your side the solf's on this one.




 


Dispassionately of course.  I know you are more on my side than solfs.


 


all

Yesterday, in America, 100 million gun owners did nothing.
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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 5:15PM #38
Ebon
Posts: 7,689

Oct 8, 2010 -- 5:00PM, appy20 wrote:

Ebon,


I don't know.  I think that people may have a right to kill themselves.  Terminal illness, alzheimer's, etc.  Even depression that is not treated.  



In the case of terminal illnesses, I agree. However, alzheimers and mental illness means that you are, by definition, not in your right mind. Knowing that, do we not have a responsibility to save people who do not understand the nature of their actions?


I don't agree with you. I believe that a thug in the teen years is a thug forever.  They may learn to conform to some degree but sometimes they just learn to hide it better.  If they are dead, they cannot breed.  Even if they reform, if they live, they still may reproduce more thugs.  


Being young doesn't make your crime less serious.  Or forgivable.  




Less than you'd think. Statistically, reforming is very likely prior to about 25 if a serious attempt at rehabilitation is made (i.e. substance counselling, education, therapy, etc). Problem is, that's expensive and no-one wants to spend the cash. Which is why reoffending rates are so high. We can't say that throwing money at rehabiltation won't work because we've never tried it. Attempts at rehab in both the US and UK have almost universally been done at bare-bones cost and without serious evaluation of outcomes.


Now, once you're past roughly 25, the chance of someone turning their life around drops dramatically. It does still happen, of course, but it's statistically unlikely.

He who oppresses the poor shows contempt for their Maker, but whoever is kind to the needy honors God. ~ Proverbs 14:31

Fiat justitia, ruat caelum

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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 5:19PM #39
Guessses
Posts: 2,233

"In the case of terminal illnesses, I agree. However, alzheimers and mental illness means that you are, by definition, not in your right mind. Knowing that, do we not have a responsibility to save people who do not understand the nature of their actions?"


A person can have both, one could lead to the other. The terminal illness leads to depression, etc. 


However, in the case of suicide, guns aren't required, therefore I don't see it as being the actual factor of the suicide, merely a tool- like jumping in front of a train.

Infinite Blessings
Mike/NAFOD
"Lord, please, protect me from Your followers!"
"WWBD? Buddha- Does it matter? If you are enlightened it does not. If you are not enlightened it still doesn't matter."
"If you go looking to place blame, eventually you'll wind up blaming the Gods"
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3 years ago  ::  Oct 08, 2010 - 5:20PM #40
CharikIeia
Posts: 8,303

Oct 8, 2010 -- 5:00PM, appy20 wrote:


If they are dead, they cannot breed.  Even if they reform, if they live, they still may reproduce more thugs.



This is the kind of biologism that is sick beyond all human measure... the individual counts zero here, except being a container of genetic material. What a shame!

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