|5 years ago :: Dec 22, 2009 - 5:47PM #11|
Well, Bo and Mindis,
where are your statistical models in which "the modelled effect is actually less than the standard variation"? Thus far, your insight has delivered a "plethora" of zero.
Here is one I found: CLICK.
The extrapolated decadal temperature rise has a standard deviation of less than one fifth of the effect size. Other more specific regional and temporal forecasts in the paper are comparable, and not in line with your claim.